Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 9.007353 10.104279 11.241933 12.506728 13.870337 15.293073 16.886542
2024-10-13 7.494456 9.085098 10.822990 12.849545 15.134453 17.617975 20.508250
2024-10-20 6.261143 8.066443 10.119530 12.600126 15.488621 18.719361 22.578797
2024-10-27 5.181095 7.068800 9.296772 12.076043 15.405215 19.221422 23.881582
2024-11-03 4.666679 6.678243 9.125785 12.258030 16.094131 20.575268 26.139214
2024-11-10 4.244384 6.350891 8.986895 12.439102 16.751017 21.871750 28.321694
2024-11-17 3.747579 5.875534 8.616724 12.291603 16.972392 22.621937 29.837664
2024-11-24 3.393867 5.555536 8.414785 12.328942 17.401178 23.609918 31.635244
2024-12-01 3.055075 5.223597 8.168557 12.283445 17.705198 24.431351 33.224124
2024-12-08 2.768650 4.939384 7.963215 12.271001 18.035678 25.276282 34.839716
2024-12-15 2.724674 5.005578 8.238484 12.904593 19.213573 27.202733 37.826340
2024-12-22 2.500779 4.780386 8.087500 12.943780 19.599196 28.116727 39.541934
2024-12-29 2.451685 4.826539 8.331143 13.542099 20.753041 30.051201 42.600396
2025-01-05 2.334549 4.755258 8.398162 13.891954 21.577346 31.570722 45.150392
2025-01-12 2.067374 4.416004 8.047086 13.629231 21.552886 31.971585 46.257131
2025-01-19 1.758242 3.975210 7.513335 13.074559 21.100625 31.787343 46.588360
2025-01-26 1.649978 3.872713 7.494006 13.267186 21.686873 32.986063 48.733267
2025-02-02 1.550331 3.776404 7.477272 13.458793 22.270365 34.184187 50.886347
2025-02-09 1.389032 3.550442 7.238217 13.302715 22.349351 34.694918 52.128872
2025-02-16 1.279322 3.411519 7.132258 13.342229 22.704704 35.581047 53.875347
2025-02-23 1.163395 3.248363 6.975473 13.294082 22.926597 36.281676 55.375473
2025-03-02 1.063294 3.106590 6.845901 13.280913 23.194691 37.044637 56.962617
2025-03-09 1.078768 3.208665 7.142334 13.951167 24.483350 39.240055 60.509604